Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -4500 WMU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +40 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -23.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -22.7 (+17.3) | 133.6 (+8.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -18.7 (+21.3) | 139.1 (+2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -20.7 (+19.3) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -21.0 (+19.0) | 138.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | IOWA 109 – 61 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 80.1 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#31) | -4.4 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#25) | -0.19 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#25) | -0.54 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#28) | 0.478 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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