Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +48 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -34.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -24.1 (+23.9) | 155.9 (+14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -33.9 (+14.1) | 155.5 (+14.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -36.2 (+11.8) | 154.7 (+15.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | IOWA 91 – 51 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#10) | -11.4 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#42) | -0.33 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#29) | -0.36 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#70) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 26.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 17.9% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.50 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 30.1% |
| TOV% | 11.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 7.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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