I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Chiles Center · December 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money PORT +270 / KENT -340
Model Predictions
Spread Total PORT win
Actual PORT +10 166 Won
Massey KENT -2.3 (+12.3)
Massey Totals 174.5 (-8.5)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 45%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -3.9 (+13.9) 161.2 (+4.8) 32%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -0.6 (+10.6) 162.2 (+3.8) 48%
Baseline ML KENT -0.3 (+10.3) 161.2 (+4.8) 52%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -1.0 (+11.0) 165.6 (+0.4) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2024 KENT 7657 PORT
Nov 15, 2022 KENT 7765 PORT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PORT KENT
Overall 15-19 24-10
Conference 6-12 14-4
Home 12-6 14-3
Away 1-12 7-6
Neutral 2-1 3-1
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 82.2
Avg Pts Against 78.1 80.6
Massey -4.5 (#240) 2.3 (#136)
Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#197) 1.07 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#187) 0.89 (#125)
RPI 0.475 (#221) 0.543 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors PORT KENT
FG% 49.9% 48.3%
3PT% 31.5% 39.7%
REB / G 34.9 38.1
OREB / G 8.2 12.8
AST / TO 1.12 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 57.8%
TOV% 21.7% 18.1%
ORB% 26.7% 36.6%
FT Rate 27.3% 36.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.9%
DRB% 70.8% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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