Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -600 UCLA +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -18.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -21.2 (-11.2) | 146.2 (+7.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GONZ -16.2 (-6.2) | 141.4 (+12.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GONZ -20.0 (-10.0) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -20.1 (-10.1) | 144.2 (+9.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 62 GONZ |
| Nov 23, 2023 | GONZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Mar 24, 2023 | GONZ 79 – 76 UCLA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | GONZ 83 – 63 UCLA |
| Apr 4, 2021 | GONZ 93 – 90 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-0 | 17-1 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 28.4 (#2) | 10.0 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.22 (#8) | 2.37 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.41 (#8) | 2.86 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#20) | 0.571 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 44.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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