Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GONZ -1000 UCLA +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +3 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -12.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -9.5 (-6.5) | 150.4 (+32.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -9.7 (-6.7) | 154.7 (+28.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -9.0 (-6.0) | 155.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -10.3 (-7.3) | 154.1 (+28.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | GONZ 82 – 72 UCLA |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 62 GONZ |
| Nov 23, 2023 | GONZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Mar 24, 2023 | GONZ 79 – 76 UCLA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | GONZ 83 – 63 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 13-6 |
| Home | 12-0 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 26.6 (#1) | 13.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.75 (#1) | 2.77 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.44 (#1) | 3.56 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#1) | 0.617 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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