Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +20 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -9.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -6.1 (-13.9) | 158.5 (-12.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -5.2 (-14.8) | 155.4 (-9.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -4.9 (-15.1) | 159.3 (-13.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -5.4 (-14.6) | 156.3 (-10.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | GONZ 82 – 72 UCLA |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 62 GONZ |
| Nov 23, 2023 | GONZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Mar 24, 2023 | GONZ 79 – 76 UCLA |
| Apr 4, 2021 | GONZ 93 – 90 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 28-4 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-1 |
| Home | 14-1 | 16-0 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-1 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 87.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#20) | 21.9 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#52) | 2.11 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#31) | 3.15 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#130) | 0.582 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 55.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 61.9% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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