Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | UCLA -110 GONZ -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -1.4 (-4.4) | 144.2 (+10.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.6 (-4.6) | 147.1 (+7.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -2.0 (-5.0) | 145.8 (+9.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -1.1 (-4.1) | 145.5 (+9.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | GONZ 82 – 72 UCLA |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 62 GONZ |
| Nov 23, 2023 | GONZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | GONZ 83 – 63 UCLA |
| Apr 4, 2021 | GONZ 93 – 90 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 14-2 |
| Home | 17-0 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 85.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#3) | 17.3 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#8) | 3.26 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.65 (#8) | 4.09 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#6) | 0.639 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 52.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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