Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA +155 GONZ -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -3.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -1.7 (-2.3) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -1.8 (-2.2) | 131.6 (+2.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -1.7 (-2.3) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -2.4 (-1.6) | 133.1 (+0.9) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | GONZ 82 – 72 UCLA |
| Dec 28, 2024 | UCLA 65 – 62 GONZ |
| Mar 24, 2023 | GONZ 79 – 76 UCLA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | GONZ 83 – 63 UCLA |
| Apr 4, 2021 | GONZ 93 – 90 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#84) | 9.2 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#152) | 2.10 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#145) | 3.50 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#275) | 0.718 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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