Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +110 MSST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -1.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -0.7 (-7.3) | 155.0 (+1.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -0.3 (-7.7) | 156.4 (-0.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -1.0 (-7.0) | 151.4 (+4.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -1.1 (-6.9) | 151.7 (+4.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | MSST 78 – 73 UTAH |
| Nov 24, 2022 | MSST 52 – 49 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#149) | 2.8 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#109) | 0.23 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#141) | 0.34 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#87) | 0.530 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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