Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -112 CSUN -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +22 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -8.0 (-30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.1 (-25.1) | 145.3 (+8.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.6 (-26.6) | 145.8 (+8.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.9 (-26.9) | 146.7 (+7.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -5.2 (-27.2) | 147.8 (+6.2) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#232) | -7.0 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#269) | -0.14 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#261) | -0.50 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#239) | 0.473 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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