Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -270 CIN +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +19 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -17.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -12.2 (+6.8) | 152.6 (-3.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -10.8 (+8.2) | 155.4 (-6.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -11.4 (+7.6) | 157.6 (-8.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -13.2 (+5.8) | 152.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | CIN 73 – 68 UGA |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UGA 83 – 68 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 21.8 (#7) | 4.5 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#51) | 0.40 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#55) | 0.80 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#89) | 0.499 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 44.6 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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