Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | UGA +125 CIN -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +15 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -9.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -10.3 (+4.7) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -7.7 (+7.3) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -10.0 (+5.0) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -10.5 (+4.5) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | UGA 84 – 65 CIN |
| Nov 14, 2021 | CIN 73 – 68 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#63) | 3.0 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#39) | -0.38 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#39) | -0.43 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#48) | 0.536 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 44.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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