Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -16.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -10.5 (-5.5) | 133.8 (+7.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -13.8 (-8.8) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | UGA 84 – 65 CIN |
| Dec 20, 2020 | UGA 83 – 68 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-13 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#112) | -1.7 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#110) | 0.40 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#114) | 0.51 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#103) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 32.4% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 85.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 3.4% |
Game Analysis
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