Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -185 WRST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -3.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.1 (-2.1) | 145.7 (+4.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.9 (-1.9) | 143.8 (+6.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.5 (-1.5) | 143.9 (+6.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.7 (-1.7) | 146.0 (+4.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2024 | WRST 88 – 79 MRSH |
| Nov 13, 2021 | MRSH 96 – 88 WRST |
| Dec 4, 2020 | MRSH 80 – 64 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#128) | 4.2 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#110) | -0.66 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#115) | -0.54 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#88) | 0.489 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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