Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -250 MRSH +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -9.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -7.3 (+1.7) | 144.3 (+22.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -7.9 (+1.1) | 144.4 (+22.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -8.0 (+1.0) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -7.4 (+1.6) | 145.2 (+21.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | MRSH 76 – 74 WRST |
| Nov 13, 2021 | MRSH 96 – 88 WRST |
| Dec 4, 2020 | MRSH 80 – 64 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#123) | -1.8 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#107) | -0.48 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#83) | -0.93 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#104) | 0.467 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 39.1% |
Game Analysis
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