Betting Lines
| Spread | ARST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +130 ARST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ARST -0.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARST -1.8 (+2.8) | 150.0 (+3.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARST -0.7 (+1.7) | 150.4 (+2.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARST -0.2 (+1.2) | 151.9 (+1.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARST -0.7 (+1.7) | 152.5 (+0.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | RICE 75 – 67 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#253) | -0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#256) | 1.76 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#242) | 1.97 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#279) | 0.602 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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