Betting Lines
| Spread | ARST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +290 ARST -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ARST -4.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -0.3 (+7.7) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARST -0.5 (+8.5) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARST -1.1 (+9.1) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARST -0.6 (+8.6) | 142.1 (-0.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | RICE 77 – 76 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#159) | 4.4 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#211) | 1.78 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#221) | 2.48 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#275) | 0.652 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 42.1 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 35.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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