Florida State
Seminoles
95
–
103
FINAL
Neutral
AutoNation Orange Bowl Classic
Massachusetts
Minutemen
Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -950 MASS +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +8 | 198 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -6.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (+41.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -7.2 (-15.2) | 149.9 (+48.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -6.0 (-14.0) | 148.0 (+50.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -8.3 (-16.3) | 152.0 (+46.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -6.6 (-14.6) | 153.0 (+45.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | FSU 92 – 59 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#100) | -0.6 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#156) | -0.24 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#153) | -0.40 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#166) | 0.464 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.