Massachusetts
Minutemen
59
–
92
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament
Florida State
Seminoles
Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +200 FSU -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +33 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -2.4 (-30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -1.8 (-31.2) | 151.2 (-0.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -3.4 (-29.6) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.5 (-30.5) | 148.7 (+2.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -3.6 (-29.4) | 152.4 (-1.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | MASS 103 – 95 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | 3.3 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#327) | 1.81 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#321) | 2.52 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#296) | 0.599 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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