Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -205 KSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -1.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.4 (-10.4) | 150.3 (+8.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -3.5 (-10.5) | 148.1 (+10.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.3 (-10.3) | 149.3 (+9.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.3 (-11.3) | 150.4 (+8.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#96) | 9.5 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#119) | 1.00 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#106) | 0.89 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#104) | 0.564 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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