Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | GAST +154 JXST -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -1.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.8 (+5.8) | 127.0 (+23.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.1 (+7.1) | 136.8 (+13.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -0.9 (+4.9) | 133.1 (+16.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -0.8 (+4.8) | 128.8 (+21.2) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | JXST 72 – 67 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#347) | -7.6 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#350) | -1.11 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.57 (#349) | -1.60 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#338) | 0.436 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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