Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -235 GAST +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -11.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | JXST -5.5 (-0.5) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.4 (-1.4) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.4 (-0.4) | 144.1 (-5.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | GAST 77 – 73 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#261) | -6.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#322) | 0.07 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#326) | -0.07 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.125 (#345) | 0.667 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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