Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | GMU -1800 ODU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -17.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -17.8 (-5.8) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -15.3 (-3.3) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -16.8 (-4.8) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -17.9 (-5.9) | 144.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | ODU 78 – 77 GMU |
| Dec 5, 2021 | ODU 60 – 50 GMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 17-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#67) | -3.1 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#34) | -1.40 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#43) | -1.97 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#28) | 0.447 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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