Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | GMU -16.6 (-26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -11.2 (-21.2) | 126.6 (-16.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -10.2 (-20.2) | 132.8 (-22.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -10.7 (-20.7) | 132.1 (-22.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -11.3 (-21.3) | 129.3 (-19.3) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | GMU 73 – 61 ODU |
| Dec 21, 2022 | ODU 78 – 77 GMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#92) | -6.5 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#198) | -0.78 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#189) | -1.03 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#193) | 0.454 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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