Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NU -8000 JKST +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +40 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NU -31.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -25.4 (+14.6) | 140.8 (+5.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -21.8 (+18.2) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -27.5 (+12.5) | 143.4 (+2.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -28.0 (+12.0) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | NU 74 – 63 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 83.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#72) | -17.6 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#140) | -1.47 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#137) | -2.30 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#98) | 0.486 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.88 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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