Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -520 HOF +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -6.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -6.8 (-7.8) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -6.5 (-7.5) | 137.9 (+1.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -6.1 (-7.1) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -6.5 (-7.5) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 2-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#80) | 5.7 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#73) | 0.96 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#70) | 1.22 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#105) | 0.582 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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