Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | ME -298 CAN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +27 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -11.8 (-38.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -8.9 (-35.9) | 125.7 (-12.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -6.9 (-33.9) | 125.4 (-12.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -8.5 (-35.5) | 125.3 (-12.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -8.2 (-35.2) | 126.7 (-13.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | ME 84 – 79 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 4-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#305) | -15.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#328) | -1.43 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#313) | -3.04 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#315) | 0.468 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 61.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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