Florida
Gators
80
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
AutoNation Orange Bowl Classic
George Washington
Revolutionaries
Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -1600 GW +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -6.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -9.4 (+0.6) | 153.5 (-3.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -7.9 (+2.1) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -7.3 (+2.7) | 154.0 (-4.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -9.3 (+0.7) | 154.7 (-4.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#19) | 10.0 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#59) | 0.91 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#39) | 1.40 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#39) | 0.536 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 46.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 17.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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