Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -238 NDSU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +5 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+48.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -5.5 (-10.5) | 143.8 (+49.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -7.2 (-12.2) | 139.8 (+53.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -6.2 (-11.2) | 141.9 (+51.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.5 (-10.5) | 143.1 (+49.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-2 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#118) | 2.3 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#223) | 0.91 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#184) | 1.21 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#238) | 0.543 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.