I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–17 on winners spread MAE 10.3 68 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Florida International +10.5 158.2 73% 80–68 ✗
Lehigh @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.9 143.2 65% 60–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech +0.1 143.1 48% 81–74 ✗
Saint Francis @ Bucknell +10.1 142.3 74% 65–89 ✓
Akron @ Marshall +11.8 144.1 86% 57–68 ✓
Lafayette @ Drexel +7.5 126.4 70% 56–64 ✓
Elon @ High Point +14.7 150.1 87% 70–84 ✓
The Citadel @ Charleston Southern +6.3 142.0 71% 76–73 ✗
Sacred Heart @ New Hampshire +3.8 148.7 66% 66–61 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State +1.1 146.5 50% 73–75 ✓
South Alabama @ Florida Atlantic +9.7 140.2 78% 59–84 ✓
Coppin State @ UMBC -1.9 160.3 50% 82–109 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Western Carolina +4.1 139.1 63% 71–55 ✗
NJIT @ Cincinnati +8.2 137.3 78% 60–86 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina A&T +0.7 138.1 46% 56–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ St. Bonaventure +3.9 133.7 63% 64–71 ✓
Richmond @ Toledo +2.9 149.4 62% 67–90 ✓
Hofstra @ George Mason +1.9 141.9 58% 77–81 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +13.0 135.2 81% 47–67 ✓
Howard @ Yale +22.3 136.3 90% 40–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross -5.4 140.5 31% 72–38 ✓
Vanderbilt @ VCU +5.1 134.4 71% 65–70 ✓
Hampton @ Georgia +12.8 138.8 87% 54–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hartford -5.9 149.1 23% 66–74 ✗
Purdue @ Florida State -13.0 140.1 17% 79–69 ✓
McNeese @ Tennessee +28.2 130.8 90% 40–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Duke +5.6 136.4 72% 72–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Miami +1.2 138.5 61% 61–68 ✓
Delaware State @ St. Francis Brooklyn +3.6 134.5 61% 73–81 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Coastal Carolina -3.7 132.5 40% 60–58 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley -6.0 158.8 27% 82–89 ✗
Jacksonville @ UAB +9.5 145.1 79% 61–80 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Georgia Southern -6.7 137.2 32% 70–53 ✓
North Dakota @ Iowa State +19.6 134.1 89% 44–63 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +1.0 129.6 39% 90–70 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Austin Peay -1.1 132.2 43% 75–74 ✓
Missouri State @ UIC +1.6 137.1 60% 66–51 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -6.0 125.3 33% 80–53 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +7.1 139.2 76% 53–68 ✓
North Alabama @ Memphis +19.0 145.4 88% 68–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice -2.5 151.7 41% 62–70 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider +10.5 142.6 83% 62–88 ✓
SMU @ Texas A&M +9.0 143.1 80% 64–83 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +19.9 143.4 91% 62–102 ✓
Georgetown @ Texas Tech +16.6 138.7 87% 65–79 ✓
Providence @ TCU +9.2 142.8 81% 62–75 ✓
Maine @ Fordham +5.0 137.5 72% 67–72 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois -5.7 145.6 32% 78–86 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +9.7 148.2 78% 85–80 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Xavier +12.0 154.3 80% 63–95 ✓
Montana State @ Southern Utah +6.6 151.2 70% 86–83 ✗
Tennessee State @ Saint Louis +10.1 150.0 80% 63–80 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Colorado State +7.8 144.9 75% 71–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Air Force +4.9 136.2 72% 53–81 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +3.8 144.2 66% 70–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Loyola Chicago +4.2 141.9 64% 70–85 ✓
Samford @ DePaul -0.6 144.4 49% 98–103 ✗
South Carolina @ George Washington +9.5 137.6 82% 55–79 ✓
Boston College @ Nebraska +7.2 128.3 74% 67–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Indiana +11.7 154.7 86% 65–77 ✓
Michigan State @ Notre Dame +1.4 144.8 56% 52–70 ✓
Little Rock @ San Francisco +12.8 151.2 85% 68–90 ✓
UC Riverside @ California Baptist +3.0 135.6 62% 60–65 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Seattle U +15.4 150.1 87% 62–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Saint Mary's +8.4 138.4 74% 69–65 ✗
USC @ California -4.4 130.1 35% 66–51 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Hawai'i +11.7 135.1 82% 53–51 ✗
Oklahoma State @ UConn +16.9 144.1 86% 64–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.