The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–9 on winners spread MAE 9.3 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ Texas +7.4 141.1 76% 67–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Radford +6.6 139.3 74% 78–80 ✓
Cornell @ Delaware +2.4 151.6 62% 74–67 ✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford +11.6 139.4 83% 63–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's -0.2 138.8 49% 73–58 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +1.0 132.1 57% 53–56 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky -8.2 147.0 28% 73–77 ✗
Robert Morris @ Wright State +9.2 144.7 79% 80–59 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State +14.8 142.0 86% 64–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.3 143.5 62% 75–66 ✗
Chicago State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.5 146.5 57% 73–86 ✓
Illinois State @ Murray State +10.7 140.5 84% 67–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +7.2 144.4 79% 64–76 ✓
Denver @ Houston Christian -9.0 151.5 19% 93–83 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas State +10.8 126.2 83% 38–58 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -12.4 138.1 16% 81–67 ✓
Arizona @ Utah +2.5 152.5 63% 66–81 ✓
Texas State @ Lamar -2.7 139.5 46% 65–55 ✓
Arizona State @ Colorado +2.7 142.1 56% 60–59 ✗
Seton Hall @ Kansas +9.3 139.5 76% 65–91 ✓
Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin +6.1 140.0 70% 102–96 ✗
Pacific @ UC Davis +11.8 157.7 80% 74–72 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah State +15.2 154.0 87% 81–86 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State -2.2 132.8 50% 65–66 ✗
UCLA @ Stanford -5.9 140.1 25% 80–66 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon +1.0 138.9 50% 60–74 ✓
Brown @ Bryant +14.8 148.9 84% 72–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.