The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–17 on winners spread MAE 10.8 68 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Florida International +15.4 167.2 92% 80–68 ✗
Lehigh @ Maryland Eastern Shore +6.8 146.6 73% 60–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech -0.0 142.1 50% 81–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Bucknell +12.9 144.1 88% 65–89 ✓
Akron @ Marshall +13.5 144.2 89% 57–68 ✓
Lafayette @ Drexel +10.1 115.8 82% 56–64 ✓
Elon @ High Point +22.0 148.1 98% 70–84 ✓
The Citadel @ Charleston Southern +10.0 140.4 82% 76–73 ✗
Sacred Heart @ New Hampshire +4.8 154.4 67% 66–61 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State +2.6 146.1 59% 73–75 ✓
South Alabama @ Florida Atlantic +9.2 136.5 80% 59–84 ✓
Coppin State @ UMBC -3.4 171.4 38% 82–109 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Western Carolina +4.4 136.5 66% 71–55 ✗
NJIT @ Cincinnati +10.5 130.2 83% 60–86 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Carolina A&T +2.4 134.6 59% 56–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ St. Bonaventure +6.7 126.3 73% 64–71 ✓
Richmond @ Toledo +1.3 149.4 55% 67–90 ✓
Hofstra @ George Mason +1.9 145.2 57% 77–81 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +18.4 130.8 95% 47–67 ✓
Howard @ Yale +26.0 133.1 99% 40–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross -1.3 140.9 45% 72–38 ✓
Vanderbilt @ VCU +6.1 130.1 71% 65–70 ✓
Hampton @ Georgia +17.1 136.5 94% 54–73 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Hartford -8.9 156.6 21% 66–74 ✗
Purdue @ Florida State -21.2 138.5 3% 79–69 ✓
McNeese @ Tennessee +33.3 124.9 100% 40–76 ✓
Ohio State @ Duke +4.6 134.4 66% 72–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Miami -1.5 135.3 44% 61–68 ✗
Delaware State @ St. Francis Brooklyn +3.3 130.4 62% 73–81 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Coastal Carolina -3.1 125.3 39% 60–58 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.6 161.4 22% 82–89 ✗
Jacksonville @ UAB +7.4 145.1 75% 61–80 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Georgia Southern -7.2 134.7 26% 70–53 ✓
North Dakota @ Iowa State +22.4 128.0 98% 44–63 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +2.8 127.8 60% 90–70 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Austin Peay -1.4 124.3 45% 75–74 ✓
Missouri State @ UIC +2.3 133.6 58% 66–51 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Evansville -3.0 115.0 39% 80–53 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +9.9 137.6 82% 53–68 ✓
North Alabama @ Memphis +23.9 145.9 99% 68–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Rice -7.1 155.6 26% 62–70 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider +14.6 139.6 91% 62–88 ✓
SMU @ Texas A&M +12.1 141.1 86% 64–83 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +26.5 139.9 99% 62–102 ✓
Georgetown @ Texas Tech +19.1 138.2 96% 65–79 ✓
Providence @ TCU +9.8 139.8 81% 62–75 ✓
Maine @ Fordham +4.0 138.6 64% 67–72 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois -8.4 145.1 22% 78–86 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +13.5 151.5 89% 85–80 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Xavier +14.7 162.7 91% 63–95 ✓
Montana State @ Southern Utah +10.9 156.4 84% 86–83 ✗
Tennessee State @ Saint Louis +13.7 153.1 89% 63–80 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Colorado State +9.8 144.4 81% 71–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Air Force +3.7 136.0 63% 53–81 ✓
UTEP @ New Mexico State +7.1 145.5 74% 70–95 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Loyola Chicago +6.1 141.5 71% 70–85 ✓
Samford @ DePaul -1.7 141.2 44% 98–103 ✗
South Carolina @ George Washington +13.0 135.2 88% 55–79 ✓
Boston College @ Nebraska +9.9 117.8 82% 67–88 ✓
North Carolina @ Indiana +15.1 155.6 92% 65–77 ✓
Michigan State @ Notre Dame +0.6 141.4 52% 52–70 ✓
Little Rock @ San Francisco +17.2 159.5 94% 68–90 ✓
UC Riverside @ California Baptist +4.8 130.9 67% 60–65 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Seattle U +20.8 149.6 97% 62–69 ✓
New Mexico @ Saint Mary's +12.9 135.5 88% 69–65 ✗
USC @ California -2.2 128.4 42% 66–51 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Hawai'i +14.2 133.0 90% 53–51 ✗
Oklahoma State @ UConn +21.6 141.3 98% 64–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.