Bitch, I'm me! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–15 on winners spread MAE 9.2 68 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida A&M @ Kentucky +27.7 135.3 91% 68–88 ✓
Youngstown State @ Central Michigan -4.7 151.2 33% 76–65 ✓
Saint Francis @ Robert Morris +10.9 142.6 85% 66–77 ✓
Ohio @ Delaware +1.3 141.6 62% 95–76 ✗
Binghamton @ Niagara +10.1 130.2 83% 67–73 ✓
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee +6.6 138.9 73% 67–83 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic +17.8 136.7 90% 52–67 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cincinnati +9.8 155.6 83% 54–72 ✓
Mercer @ Troy +9.0 137.5 80% 82–79 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Florida International +6.6 139.6 79% 74–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Ball State +9.5 135.3 85% 54–58 ✓
Stetson @ UCF +15.4 138.1 89% 58–73 ✓
Navy @ VCU +4.8 138.8 75% 52–74 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Northern Iowa +0.9 133.3 55% 52–62 ✓
Bucknell @ Richmond +12.4 136.6 86% 71–81 ✓
New Hampshire @ Brown +8.1 131.1 71% 51–67 ✓
Canisius @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.2 142.0 86% 81–84 ✓
Southern Utah @ Colorado +11.3 151.7 85% 78–86 ✓
UT Arlington @ California +1.5 127.2 55% 51–73 ✓
Michigan @ North Carolina +4.3 154.6 66% 76–80 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State -2.3 137.8 44% 70–68 ✓
Samford @ Belmont +4.0 148.6 67% 56–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Kent State +4.2 141.2 65% 63–73 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech +0.8 144.1 55% 79–66 ✗
McNeese @ Houston +27.3 124.6 91% 44–83 ✓
Louisiana @ Texas +18.7 148.3 88% 72–100 ✓
Southern @ SE Louisiana +2.2 148.5 50% 62–80 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +24.7 148.2 91% 61–83 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulane +21.6 142.0 91% 63–84 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Saint Louis +10.3 148.7 81% 69–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ LSU +15.0 132.3 87% 68–72 ✓
Bellarmine @ Evansville -0.5 126.8 52% 61–73 ✗
Notre Dame @ Florida State +0.2 141.0 57% 72–73 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Wyoming -10.9 128.9 15% 66–54 ✓
Maine @ Ohio State +23.1 142.7 90% 61–95 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Purdue +27.1 148.1 91% 53–74 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Arkansas +19.7 155.3 90% 51–85 ✓
TCU @ Utah +6.1 143.8 59% 75–71 ✗
Auburn @ Washington -0.4 141.6 47% 84–61 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Fullerton +4.1 134.8 72% 49–59 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UTEP +8.1 139.6 82% 62–75 ✓
Arizona State @ San Francisco -1.8 138.4 55% 60–97 ✗
Denver @ Oregon State +4.9 134.0 73% 52–57 ✓
Tulsa @ Loyola Marymount +8.2 146.3 82% 64–76 ✓
Idaho @ Long Beach State +9.4 145.7 80% 75–82 ✓
Colorado State @ USC -0.4 139.5 52% 64–73 ✗
Holy Cross @ Sacred Heart +7.3 140.5 77% 62–66 ✓
Towson @ Bryant -0.0 144.6 59% 59–69 ✗
VMI @ Fordham +10.0 145.9 87% 77–80 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Indiana State +14.4 154.6 86% 67–57 ✗
Siena @ American University +4.9 130.2 63% 64–61 ✗
Chicago State @ Minnesota +7.4 134.6 81% 55–58 ✓
North Florida @ Bethune-Cookman -5.5 149.4 30% 87–85 ✓
Cornell @ Colgate +1.8 157.7 54% 91–80 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Eastern Kentucky +1.0 132.0 53% 64–68 ✓
Jackson State @ Stephen F. Austin +13.9 150.0 86% 69–80 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas State +7.5 135.1 74% 75–77 ✓
Lindenwood @ Utah Tech +9.8 143.8 87% 64–95 ✓
Iona @ SMU -10.9 141.3 19% 81–85 ✗
San Diego @ Cal State Northridge -2.3 142.1 34% 78–83 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Vanderbilt +16.1 141.2 88% 62–70 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Penn State +13.2 142.8 87% 68–77 ✓
Boise State @ Santa Clara -1.3 138.9 51% 58–73 ✗
Portland @ UC Riverside +1.0 145.8 58% 65–76 ✓
Akron @ Bradley +6.6 127.5 73% 55–74 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah State +6.4 149.7 73% 56–84 ✓
Stony Brook @ West Virginia +24.9 139.4 90% 64–75 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Maryland +15.3 130.8 89% 45–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.