Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BALL -333 GASO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -15.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -12.0 (-8.0) | 139.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -9.5 (-5.5) | 135.3 (-23.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -10.9 (-6.9) | 136.6 (-24.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -11.9 (-7.9) | 139.2 (-27.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | GASO 82 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#102) | -6.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#148) | -0.68 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#130) | -0.78 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#164) | 0.455 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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