Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -600 CAN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -16.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -14.2 (-11.2) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -11.2 (-8.2) | 142.0 (+23.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -14.0 (-11.0) | 142.9 (+22.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -14.6 (-11.6) | 142.8 (+22.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | CAN 97 – 90 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#88) | -6.0 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#44) | -1.83 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#52) | -1.88 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#30) | 0.418 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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