Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +205 FGCU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +7 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+44.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -3.5 (+10.5) | 142.4 (+44.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.9 (+8.9) | 141.9 (+45.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.1 (+11.1) | 141.8 (+45.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -3.8 (+10.8) | 142.2 (+44.8) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | FGCU 84 – 81 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#301) | 0.6 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#292) | 0.98 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#325) | 0.74 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#286) | 0.527 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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