Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UCR +110 PORT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -1.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -1.0 (+10.0) | 145.8 (-4.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -1.8 (+9.2) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -1.7 (+9.3) | 147.7 (-6.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -1.6 (+9.4) | 148.4 (-7.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | PORT 76 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#160) | 4.2 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#137) | -0.03 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#159) | 0.30 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#130) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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