Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -300 UCR +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +11 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -12.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -9.6 (+1.4) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -10.5 (+0.5) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | UCR 76 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#220) | -3.2 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#121) | -0.40 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#137) | -0.61 (#218) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 30.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 36.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 10.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 13.0% |
| FT Rate | 47.2% | 7.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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