Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -27.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -32.9 (-21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -27.7 (-16.7) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -24.9 (-13.9) | 139.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -23.7 (-12.7) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -27.6 (-16.6) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#8) | -12.1 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#16) | -2.02 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.80 (#10) | -2.68 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#10) | 0.371 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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