Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -120 SBU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -2.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -2.3 (+7.7) | 134.1 (-20.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -2.4 (+7.6) | 135.4 (-21.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -3.1 (+6.9) | 134.9 (-20.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -0.9 (+9.1) | 133.3 (-19.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | SBU 68 – 56 UNI |
| Nov 27, 2021 | UNI 90 – 80 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#238) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#322) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#282) | -0.30 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#316) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.