Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +10 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -23.9 (-33.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -19.3 (-29.3) | 136.4 (+33.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -21.5 (-31.5) | 134.4 (+35.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -18.5 (-28.5) | 135.7 (+34.3) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -18.1 (-28.1) | 138.9 (+31.1) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | SBU 68 – 56 UNI |
| Dec 22, 2022 | UNI 62 – 52 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#48) | -8.7 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#1) | -2.88 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.20 (#3) | -4.16 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.719 (#5) | 0.423 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 82.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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