Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNI +115 SBU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -7.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.0 (-5.0) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -5.4 (-6.6) | 138.0 (-14.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -4.8 (-7.2) | 138.5 (-14.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -6.4 (-5.6) | 136.4 (-12.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | UNI 62 – 52 SBU |
| Nov 27, 2021 | UNI 90 – 80 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#166) | 7.6 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#153) | 1.93 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#138) | 2.97 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#92) | 0.564 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 4.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 15.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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