Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -111 TOW -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -3.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -2.2 (+7.8) | 148.1 (-20.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -2.5 (+7.5) | 151.3 (-23.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -3.1 (+6.9) | 150.4 (-22.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -0.0 (+10.0) | 144.6 (-16.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | TOW 70 – 65 BRY |
| Dec 16, 2023 | BRY 101 – 93 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-13 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#171) | 1.0 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#142) | 0.52 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#183) | 0.66 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#136) | 0.514 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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