Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -300 HC +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -9.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -7.3 (-3.3) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -7.1 (-3.1) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -7.2 (-3.2) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -7.0 (-3.0) | 141.8 (-13.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | SHU 79 – 66 HC |
| Nov 15, 2024 | HC 82 – 75 SHU |
| Nov 15, 2023 | SHU 84 – 77 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#313) | -13.5 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#308) | -3.12 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#314) | -3.81 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#322) | 0.363 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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