Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -140 HC +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -1.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -1.1 (-5.9) | 143.7 (+13.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HC -1.0 (-6.0) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -1.0 (-6.0) | 143.6 (+13.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2025 | SHU 79 – 66 HC |
| Nov 15, 2023 | SHU 84 – 77 HC |
| Dec 22, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#243) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#326) | -0.66 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#332) | -0.86 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.361 (#290) | 0.531 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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