Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -380 HC +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -8.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -6.4 (+6.6) | 135.4 (+9.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.7 (+8.3) | 134.6 (+10.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -5.7 (+7.3) | 136.3 (+8.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.4 (+7.6) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | HC 82 – 75 SHU |
| Nov 15, 2023 | SHU 84 – 77 HC |
| Dec 22, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#292) | -9.0 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#310) | -1.55 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#316) | -2.86 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#296) | 0.411 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.5% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 62.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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