Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN +150 USD -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +5 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | USD -0.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -1.2 (+6.2) | 145.6 (+15.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -2.3 (+7.3) | 142.1 (+18.9) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -1.9 (+6.9) | 145.0 (+16.0) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -1.4 (+6.4) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | CSUN 56 – 52 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 4-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-9 |
| Away | 0-14 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#278) | -0.2 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.12 (#361) | -0.02 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.26 (#361) | 0.42 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#363) | 0.502 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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