Betting Lines
| Spread | USD -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +4 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -21.7 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -16.8 (-20.8) | 131.0 (-23.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USD -12.6 (-16.6) | 129.3 (-21.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -16.6 (-20.6) | 133.2 (-25.2) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -17.3 (-21.3) | 132.4 (-24.4) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | CSUN 83 – 78 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#80) | -9.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#152) | -1.80 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#100) | -2.28 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#221) | 0.373 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 45.2% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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