Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -800 SUU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -13.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.6 (-4.6) | 156.4 (+7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -11.3 (-3.3) | 151.7 (+12.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -12.9 (-4.9) | 157.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -13.0 (-5.0) | 156.2 (+7.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#50) | 2.0 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#79) | 0.05 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#67) | -0.06 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#40) | 0.511 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 35.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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