Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -400 TLSA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -12.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -10.2 (+1.8) | 145.0 (-5.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -8.2 (+3.8) | 146.3 (-6.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.0 (+2.0) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -10.6 (+1.4) | 143.5 (-3.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | LMU 60 – 55 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#103) | -3.6 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#84) | -0.91 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#89) | -0.77 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#69) | 0.423 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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